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Navigating Stock Market Volatility: What Investors Can Learn

September 24, 2024

The stock market experienced a burst of volatility in early August, catching many investors off guard. Equally surprising was how quickly the turbulence dissipated. This rollercoaster ride left many wondering: What should long-term investors take away from such events? Let’s explore how volatility plays a role in investing and why it's crucial to maintain perspective rather than overreact.


Volatility: A Natural Part of Investing


The very mention of "volatility" can cause panic for some, but it’s important to remember that market fluctuations are inevitable. In fact, volatility is simply a feature of long-term investing. By anticipating these inevitable ups and downs, investors can mentally prepare themselves, avoiding emotional reactions that could lead to hasty, regrettable decisions.


It’s not about the day-to-day headlines or market responses to events, such as currency fluctuations. For instance, the recent dollar/yen shift triggered a market downturn, yet the stock market rebounded just as quickly, showing its resilience. Time and again, history shows that U.S. stock indexes have bounced back from volatility, and August was no exception.


Understanding Pullbacks


A pullback is always a possibility, especially after prolonged periods of growth. To illustrate, the S&P 500's returns have been significant, with a 2023 yearly return of 24.23% (26.44% including dividends) and a 2024 year-to-date return of 17.29% as of late August. While these figures are impressive, they deviate from historical norms, suggesting that a pullback could occur at any time.


That said, we've already seen a pullback, and it came and went swiftly. This highlights a key point for investors: short-term downturns are often temporary, and reacting emotionally can lead to missed opportunities.


Election Years and Volatility


Election years are historically more volatile, and the months leading up to a U.S. presidential election are known for increased market fluctuations. However, while some may worry about the impact of politics on their investments, data tells a different story. Since 1952, the S&P 500 has averaged a 7% gain during election years. That said, the 2008 financial crisis is a reminder that underlying economic factors, like subprime mortgage issues, often play a larger role in market shifts than election cycles themselves.


Right now, the U.S. economy faces headwinds like inflation and labor market uncertainty, but also tailwinds such as potential Federal Reserve rate cuts. As we inch closer to Election Day, unknown factors may emerge, but staying informed and maintaining a long-term perspective is key.


Using Volatility to Your Advantage


Volatility, while unnerving, can also present opportunities. Investors with additional capital on the sidelines might consider deploying it during market downturns when prices are lower. Past events, such as the 2008 financial crisis or the 2020 COVID-19 crash, demonstrate that those who remained invested often benefited in the long run.


A diversified portfolio is one of the best ways to cushion against volatility. For instance, at the end of August, industrial stocks outperformed tech stocks, and bond yields dropped, creating gains for bondholders—an asset class many investors had previously avoided. This underscores the importance of spreading investments across a variety of assets to manage risk effectively.


Stay Focused on Long-Term Goals


As always, the key to managing volatility lies in long-term thinking. Historically, long-term investing has outperformed short-term market trading. By sticking to a well-diversified strategy and resisting the urge to react impulsively to market shifts, investors can harness volatility to their advantage rather than fear it.



If you have questions about how volatility might impact your portfolio or would like to discuss your investment strategy in more detail, now is a great time to schedule a consultation. At Eardley Financial Agency, LLC, we're here to help you navigate these uncertain times with confidence and a steady hand.

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The Ultimate Guide to Saving for College

July 29, 2024
College can be a transformative experience, but it also comes with a significant price tag. As tuition and associated costs continue to rise, planning and saving for college has never been more crucial. Whether you're a parent planning for your child’s future or a student preparing for higher education, understanding your savings options and strategies can make a big difference. Here’s a comprehensive guide to help you navigate the journey of saving for college. 1. Start Early for Maximum Impact One of the most effective ways to save for college is to start early. The sooner you begin, the more time your money has to grow through compound interest. Even small, consistent contributions can add up over time, so don’t underestimate the power of getting an early start. 2. Explore College Savings Accounts There are several tax-advantaged accounts designed specifically for college savings. Each has its own benefits, so it’s important to understand which one suits your needs: 529 College Savings Plans: These are popular because they offer tax-free growth and tax-free withdrawals for qualified education expenses. Additionally, many states offer tax benefits for contributions. 529 plans come in two main types: savings plans, which function like investment accounts, and prepaid tuition plans, which allow you to lock in current tuition rates. Coverdell Education Savings Accounts (ESAs): ESAs also provide tax-free growth and withdrawals for educational expenses, but they have a lower contribution limit ($2,000 per year) and income restrictions for contributors. They can be used for both college and K-12 expenses. Custodial Accounts (UTMA/UGMA): These are non-tax-advantaged accounts that allow you to save money in a child’s name. While they offer flexibility in how funds can be used, the money is considered the child’s asset, which could impact financial aid eligibility. 3. Calculate the Total Cost Understanding the total cost of college, including tuition, fees, room and board, books, and other expenses, can help you set realistic savings goals. Use online calculators to estimate future costs and determine how much you need to save each month to reach your goal. 4. Set Up a Budget and Automate Savings Creating a budget helps identify how much you can comfortably set aside for college savings. Automate your contributions by setting up regular transfers to your college savings account. Automating makes saving easier and ensures that you consistently contribute to your goal. 5. Look for Additional Funding Sources In addition to personal savings, explore other funding sources that can help cover college costs: Scholarships and Grants: Research and apply for scholarships and grants, which can significantly reduce the financial burden. Many organizations, institutions, and foundations offer scholarships based on academic achievement, financial need, or specific skills and interests. Work-Study Programs: Many colleges offer work-study programs that allow students to earn money while attending school, which can help cover living expenses and reduce the need for loans. Student Loans: While loans should be a last resort, they can be a viable option to cover remaining costs. Federal student loans typically offer lower interest rates and more flexible repayment terms compared to private loans. 6. Teach Financial Literacy Educate your child about the cost of college and the importance of saving. Understanding financial concepts and the implications of student loans can help them make informed decisions about their education and spending habits. 7. Review and Adjust Regularly Regularly review your college savings plan to ensure you’re on track. Adjust your contributions if necessary, especially if your financial situation changes or if you receive any windfalls or bonuses that could boost your savings. 8. Consider Investments for Growth Investing in a diversified portfolio within your college savings account can help grow your savings over time. Consider speaking with a financial advisor to develop an investment strategy that aligns with your risk tolerance and time horizon. 9. Stay Informed About Financial Aid Stay updated on financial aid policies and deadlines. The Free Application for Federal Student Aid (FAFSA) is crucial for determining eligibility for federal aid, and many states and institutions also require it for scholarships and grants. Saving for college requires careful planning and commitment, but the rewards are well worth the effort. By starting early, choosing the right savings vehicles, and exploring additional funding options, you can ease the financial burden of higher education and provide a brighter future for yourself or your child. Begin today and take the first step towards a successful college journey.
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The Importance of an Emergency Fund: Your Financial Safety Net

June 12, 2024
In the world of personal finance, few concepts are as universally crucial as the emergency fund. It might not be the most glamorous aspect of financial planning, but having a well-stocked emergency fund is foundational to achieving long-term financial stability. Here’s why building and maintaining an emergency fund should be a top priority for everyone. 1. Protection Against Unexpected Expenses Life is full of surprises, and not all of them are pleasant. From unexpected medical bills and car repairs to urgent home repairs and sudden job loss, these unforeseen expenses can strain your finances if you’re not prepared. An emergency fund acts as a financial buffer that allows you to handle these situations without derailing your long-term financial goals or incurring debt.  2. Reducing Financial Stress Financial stress can take a toll on your mental and physical well-being. Knowing that you have a safety net in place can provide peace of mind and reduce anxiety during uncertain times. When you have an emergency fund, you can face unexpected challenges with greater confidence, knowing that you have a plan and resources to manage the situation. 3. Avoiding High-Interest Debt Without an emergency fund, you might be tempted to use credit cards or take out loans to cover urgent expenses. This can lead to high-interest debt that compounds over time, making it even harder to recover financially. An emergency fund helps you avoid relying on credit or loans for emergencies, saving you from costly interest payments and potential financial strain. 4. Maintaining Financial Goals and Plans Your financial goals, whether it’s saving for a home, planning for retirement, or investing in education, are important. An emergency fund helps ensure that these goals stay on track by providing a financial cushion that allows you to address emergencies without having to dip into your savings or investment accounts. This way, you can continue to work towards your long-term objectives without interruption. 5. Building Financial Discipline Creating and maintaining an emergency fund requires discipline and consistency. It encourages you to prioritize savings and manage your spending effectively. As you build this habit, you’ll likely find that other areas of your financial life also improve, such as budgeting and investment planning. The process of setting aside money for emergencies reinforces the importance of financial responsibility and planning. How Much Should You Save? Financial experts generally recommend having three to six months’ worth of living expenses saved in your emergency fund. This amount can vary based on individual circumstances, such as job stability, income level, and personal comfort. The key is to ensure that your emergency fund is sufficient to cover essential expenses and provide a buffer during challenging times. Where Should You Keep Your Emergency Fund? Your emergency fund should be easily accessible but separate from your everyday spending accounts. Consider keeping it in a savings account with low risk and high liquidity. This ensures that you can access the funds quickly when needed without facing penalties or delays. How to Start Building Your Emergency Fund Set a Goal: Determine how much you need based on your monthly expenses and financial situation. Create a Budget: Allocate a portion of your monthly income towards your emergency fund. Automate Savings: Set up automatic transfers to your emergency fund to make saving easier and more consistent. Track Progress: Regularly review your emergency fund and adjust contributions as needed to stay on track with your goal. An emergency fund is not just a financial safety net; it’s a cornerstone of financial stability and peace of mind. By building and maintaining an emergency fund, you protect yourself from unexpected expenses, reduce financial stress, avoid high-interest debt, and stay on track with your financial goals. Start today, and take the first step towards securing your financial future.
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